The evolution of dynamics in the Arctic during 2025 marked the definitive end of the conception of the region as an area almost closed to bilateral cooperation, overcoming old prejudices that divergent interests would prevent deep interaction between Moscow and Beijing. Global geopolitical pressure pushed the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China towards structural integration that transformed the area into one of the most dynamic and visible sectors of their

Foreword: The Architecture of Survival and the End of Bipolar Stability We have entered a phase of ontological transformation in global power balances. February 2026 marks not only the technical expiration of the last bastion of arms control, the New START treaty, but also the definitive boundary between the era of bipolar stability and a new multipolar disorder dominated by the nuclear rise of the People's Republic of China (PRC). For decades, the arms control system was an

Foreword: The Architecture of Survival in the New World Disorder We have entered a phase of ontological transformation in the global system. The year 2026 marks the definitive boundary between the era of integrated globalization—the paradigm of asymmetric interdependence that dominated the last two decades—and a new order characterized by fragmentation into autarkic spheres of influence. In this scenario, Xi Jinping’s China is not merely facing a cyclical recession; it is exe

February 9, 2026 marks a potentially historic date for jurisprudence related to US national security and foreign investment. The US Department of Justice filed a civil lawsuit in the District Court for the District of Columbia against Suirui Group Co. Ltd ., its subsidiary Suirui International, and Jupiter Systems, Inc. The lawsuit , which is the first enforcement action ever brought in federal court under Section 721 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, seeks to enforce a

Foreword: The Architecture of Power and the PLA's Metamorphosis The coordinated publication of new doctrinal regulations and the signing of President Xi Jinping's decree mark the definitive end of the Chinese defense's quantitative accumulation phase. Beijing has understood that technological superiority (the hardware) is inert without a command doctrine and a thought structure (the software) capable of orchestrating the complexity of modern domains. This foreword does not

The publication of the report “ Tightening the Net: China's Infrastructure of Oppression in Iran ” by Article 19 has brought to light the decisive role of Chinese technology in the repression of the Iranian protests that broke out at the end of last year. In particular, the document describes how Beijing provided Tehran not only with the regulatory model, but also with the technical infrastructure necessary to impose an almost total information blackout, isolating the civilia

Preface: The Quantum Leap of Chinese Defense The coordinated publication of these three foundational doctrinal documents by the People's Liberation Army (PLA) in the early days of February 2025  marks China's definitive transition from "mechanization" to the "intelligentization" of its armed forces. Beijing is no longer aiming for mere numerical parity with the West, but for asymmetric superiority  through the deconstruction of traditional combat systems. This new strategic a

Energy is the lifeblood of China's rise, but it is also the most exposed front in its national security. In a global context defined by competition between major powers, the People's Republic of China faces a critical paradox: its industrial and military power depends on resources it does not control and trade routes controlled by its strategic adversaries. With its dependence on oil imports consistently exceeding 70%, Beijing is not only seeking to secure daily supplies, bu

The European Union is currently facing a fundamental shift in its national security architecture. The proposal of January 20, 2026, for a new policy package centered on the recast of Regulation (EU) 2019/881, known as " The Cybersecurity Act 2 "  (document COM(2026) 11 final), will mark the definitive transition from a logic of voluntary recommendations to a regime of "mandatory risk reduction" for supply chains originating from high-risk third countries. The following analy

The architecture of international trade is undergoing a profound regulatory transformation that sees China at the center of a new phase of administrative and geoeconomic rigor. On January 15, 2026, the General Administration of Customs in Beijing officially issued Order No. 282, entitled " Measures of the Customs of the People's Republic of China for the Administration of Enterprise Credit Registration and Filing. " This measure, which will formally enter into force on April

The Pentagon's latest annual report on military developments in the People's Republic of China marks a point of no return in the Western perception of the Asian technological threat. We are no longer facing a race to catch up, but a deliberate attempt by Beijing to rewrite the rules of war and intelligence through quantum technology , considered one of the " key forces for industrial transformation " and national security. This effort, which sees China pouring significant re

The following strategic analysis integrates the latest regulatory developments from the US Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), the geo-economic dynamics of the realist paradigm, and the infrastructural challenges of China's artificial intelligence (AI) and data center ecosystem. The final rule issued today by the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), scheduled for publication in the Federal Register on January 15, 2026, marks a fundamental turning point in American stra

In an era of radical transformation of global balances, understanding power dynamics requires abandoning any idealistic approach in favor of a realist analysis that identifies geoeconomics and military deterrence as the true pillars of international stability. The current global scenario is witnessing a profound redefinition of the world order, where the control of energy resources and the use of asymmetric economic levers have replaced formal treaties as the actual guarantor

THE HORIZON OF POWER: THE TWILIGHT OF LAW AND THE RISE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION – ANALYSIS OF THE CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGIC REPORT (LATE 2025)

The question of the People's Republic of China's actual capacity to conduct high-risk special operations in hostile territory, similar to the raid against Osama bin Laden or the capture of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela, requires an examination that goes beyond simply counting technical resources. Although Beijing aspires to a “world-class” force by 2049, OSINT sources suggest that the operational gap with the United States remains wide. The following analysis explores the struc

Oil, satellites, and bad loans: the balance sheet of Chinese risk after the fall of Caracas The sudden U.S. military action on January 3, 2026, and the subsequent capture of Nicolás Maduro represent a definitive breaking point for the architecture of Chinese interests in South America. For Beijing, Venezuela was not merely a commercial partner but the cornerstone of a multidimensional strategy aimed at creating a Belt and Road Initiative outpost at the doorstep of the United

Eurasian Pincer: The New Architecture of Total Blockade in the Taiwan Strait and North Pacific

On December 19, 2025, the National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology (NSCEB) published a definitive staff paper entitled "The Future of U.S.-China Biotechnology Competition,"  signaling a critical inflection point in the global struggle for technological primacy. This document, building upon a sobering April 2025 assessment, warns that the window for the United States to retain its leadership in biotechnology is closing far faster than previously anticipated. Whil

The Trojan Horse of the Seas: China’s Missile-Carrying Container Ships and the Architecture of Liminal Warfare

Vietnam Between the Rare Earths Ban and Warships in the Strait: Beijing's Analysis of Hanoi's Ambitions