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The end of Trump's unilateral tariff policy? Legal, political, and geoeconomic analysis of the Supreme Court's historic ruling on presidential powers
On February 20, the US Supreme Court issued its final ruling , definitively invalidating the comprehensive tariff system launched by the Trump administration. The Executive's strategy, centered on invoking a state of national emergency to justify the widespread imposition of tariffs, was deemed entirely unconstitutional. The scope of this decision transcends the mere repeal of an economic trade program, constituting rather an unprecedented institutional clash and a peremptory

Gabriele Iuvinale
3 giorni faTempo di lettura: 4 min


China's new WTO document: multilateral illusion to conceal capital controls, statism, and predatory mercantilism
On February 17, China submitted a position paper to the World Trade Organization (WTO) outlining its stance on WTO reform “under the current circumstances.” However, analysis of this policy document, officially released on February 18, 2026, requires careful consideration of Beijing's real intentions. In the text, Chinese diplomacy stands as the defender of an open, inclusive, and non-discriminatory multilateral trading system. However, comparing these statements with the ext

Gabriele Iuvinale
4 giorni faTempo di lettura: 3 min


THE FINANCIAL "CHOKEPOINT" – BEIJING’S TREASURY DUMP AND THE KINETIC PARALYSIS OF JAPAN
The Silent Siren of the Steppes and the Death of Liquid Neutrality The global financial landscape of 2026 has been redefined by a "secret war" that transcends geographical borders and traditional military doctrines. While Western attention remained fixed on the expansion of the Chinese nuclear triad or tactical maneuvers in the South China Sea, a far more surgical operation was being executed in the high-frequency trading halls and sovereign bond markets. Beijing’s strategic
Nicola Iuvinale
6 giorni faTempo di lettura: 4 min


Brief analysis: Strategic Integration and Sino-Russian Naval Enhancement in the Arctic Quadrant (2025-2026)
The evolution of dynamics in the Arctic during 2025 marked the definitive end of the conception of the region as an area almost closed to bilateral cooperation, overcoming old prejudices that divergent interests would prevent deep interaction between Moscow and Beijing. Global geopolitical pressure pushed the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China towards structural integration that transformed the area into one of the most dynamic and visible sectors of their

Gabriele Iuvinale
16 febTempo di lettura: 4 min


The United States vs. Chinese group Suirui case and the escalation on the technological front: a geo-economic and legal analysis
February 9, 2026 marks a potentially historic date for jurisprudence related to US national security and foreign investment. The US Department of Justice filed a civil lawsuit in the District Court for the District of Columbia against Suirui Group Co. Ltd ., its subsidiary Suirui International, and Jupiter Systems, Inc. The lawsuit , which is the first enforcement action ever brought in federal court under Section 721 of the Defense Production Act of 1950, seeks to enforce a

Gabriele Iuvinale
11 febTempo di lettura: 4 min


The Guarantor of Last Resort: Beijing's comprehensive strategy for Iran's survival
The publication of the report “ Tightening the Net: China's Infrastructure of Oppression in Iran ” by Article 19 has brought to light the decisive role of Chinese technology in the repression of the Iranian protests that broke out at the end of last year. In particular, the document describes how Beijing provided Tehran not only with the regulatory model, but also with the technical infrastructure necessary to impose an almost total information blackout, isolating the civilia

Gabriele Iuvinale
9 febTempo di lettura: 3 min


The Energy Siege: The US Stranglehold on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela, and China's Strategy of Evading Sanctions and Transforming Fossil Fuel Dependency into Green Supremacy
Energy is the lifeblood of China's rise, but it is also the most exposed front in its national security. In a global context defined by competition between major powers, the People's Republic of China faces a critical paradox: its industrial and military power depends on resources it does not control and trade routes controlled by its strategic adversaries. With its dependence on oil imports consistently exceeding 70%, Beijing is not only seeking to secure daily supplies, bu

Gabriele Iuvinale
30 genTempo di lettura: 3 min


5G and Connected Vehicles: the EU takes precautions against the risk of sabotage, but between billion-dollar costs and risk incentives, “gray areas” remain regarding energy and critical infrastructure
The European Union is currently facing a fundamental shift in its national security architecture. The proposal of January 20, 2026, for a new policy package centered on the recast of Regulation (EU) 2019/881, known as " The Cybersecurity Act 2 " (document COM(2026) 11 final), will mark the definitive transition from a logic of voluntary recommendations to a regime of "mandatory risk reduction" for supply chains originating from high-risk third countries. The following analy

Gabriele Iuvinale
21 genTempo di lettura: 4 min


The CCP's algorithm on global trade: strategic analysis of the new social credit system for business evaluation
The architecture of international trade is undergoing a profound regulatory transformation that sees China at the center of a new phase of administrative and geoeconomic rigor. On January 15, 2026, the General Administration of Customs in Beijing officially issued Order No. 282, entitled " Measures of the Customs of the People's Republic of China for the Administration of Enterprise Credit Registration and Filing. " This measure, which will formally enter into force on April

Gabriele Iuvinale
16 genTempo di lettura: 3 min


The Quantum Eclipse: China's Strategy for Multidomain Supremacy
The Pentagon's latest annual report on military developments in the People's Republic of China marks a point of no return in the Western perception of the Asian technological threat. We are no longer facing a race to catch up, but a deliberate attempt by Beijing to rewrite the rules of war and intelligence through quantum technology , considered one of the " key forces for industrial transformation " and national security. This effort, which sees China pouring significant re

Gabriele Iuvinale
15 genTempo di lettura: 3 min


From supertankers to superchips: The new BIS rule and Washington's double geoeconomic squeeze on Beijing
The following strategic analysis integrates the latest regulatory developments from the US Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), the geo-economic dynamics of the realist paradigm, and the infrastructural challenges of China's artificial intelligence (AI) and data center ecosystem. The final rule issued today by the Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), scheduled for publication in the Federal Register on January 15, 2026, marks a fundamental turning point in American stra

Gabriele Iuvinale
14 genTempo di lettura: 4 min


Energy sovereignty and the realist paradigm: the US geoeconomic encirclement of China
In an era of radical transformation of global balances, understanding power dynamics requires abandoning any idealistic approach in favor of a realist analysis that identifies geoeconomics and military deterrence as the true pillars of international stability. The current global scenario is witnessing a profound redefinition of the world order, where the control of energy resources and the use of asymmetric economic levers have replaced formal treaties as the actual guarantor

Gabriele Iuvinale
13 genTempo di lettura: 4 min


THE HORIZON OF POWER: THE TWILIGHT OF LAW AND THE RISE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION – ANALYSIS OF THE CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGIC REPORT (LATE 2025)
THE HORIZON OF POWER: THE TWILIGHT OF LAW AND THE RISE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION – ANALYSIS OF THE CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGIC REPORT (LATE 2025)
Nicola Iuvinale
7 genTempo di lettura: 5 min


The “sharp sword” gap: Why Chinese Special Forces are not yet ready for a Delta Force-style operation in Taiwan
The question of the People's Republic of China's actual capacity to conduct high-risk special operations in hostile territory, similar to the raid against Osama bin Laden or the capture of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela, requires an examination that goes beyond simply counting technical resources. Although Beijing aspires to a “world-class” force by 2049, OSINT sources suggest that the operational gap with the United States remains wide. The following analysis explores the struc

Gabriele Iuvinale
5 genTempo di lettura: 4 min


Extrema Ratio: Operation Delta Force, and the economic earthquake threatening $100 billion in Chinese investments
Oil, satellites, and bad loans: the balance sheet of Chinese risk after the fall of Caracas The sudden U.S. military action on January 3, 2026, and the subsequent capture of Nicolás Maduro represent a definitive breaking point for the architecture of Chinese interests in South America. For Beijing, Venezuela was not merely a commercial partner but the cornerstone of a multidimensional strategy aimed at creating a Belt and Road Initiative outpost at the doorstep of the United

Gabriele Iuvinale
4 genTempo di lettura: 4 min


Eurasian Pincer: The New Architecture of Total Blockade in the Taiwan Strait and North Pacific
Eurasian Pincer: The New Architecture of Total Blockade in the Taiwan Strait and North Pacific
Nicola Iuvinale
2 genTempo di lettura: 3 min


The Biotech Flywheel: How China is Overtaking the West in the New Great Power Competition
On December 19, 2025, the National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology (NSCEB) published a definitive staff paper entitled "The Future of U.S.-China Biotechnology Competition," signaling a critical inflection point in the global struggle for technological primacy. This document, building upon a sobering April 2025 assessment, warns that the window for the United States to retain its leadership in biotechnology is closing far faster than previously anticipated. Whil

Gabriele Iuvinale
29 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


Vietnam Between the Rare Earths Ban and Warships in the Strait: Beijing's Analysis of Hanoi's Ambitions
Vietnam Between the Rare Earths Ban and Warships in the Strait: Beijing's Analysis of Hanoi's Ambitions
Nicola Iuvinale
19 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


Quantum Technologies and National Security: State of the Art and Industrial Dynamics in the People's Republic of China
The development of quantum technologies now represents a fundamental pillar of global technological competition, where innovation capacity is inextricably linked to national security and digital sovereignty. The 2025 report by the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) highlights how quantum computing, encrypted communication, and precision sensing have become strategic drivers, leading over 30 countries to invest a total of more than $35 billion.

Gabriele Iuvinale
18 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 3 min


The geopolitics of critical minerals: between American resilience to be built and recent Chinese concerns
On December 12, 2025, in Washington, the United States marked a decisive turning point in the geopolitics of raw materials by inaugurating the " Pax Silica Initiative ." This U.S.-led program, which brought together strategic partners including Japan, Israel, Australia, Singapore, the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of Korea, is not merely a technical agreement. It represents the proclamation of a new geopolitical consensus: econom

Gabriele Iuvinale
17 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 6 min
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