Oil, satellites, and bad loans: the balance sheet of Chinese risk after the fall of Caracas The sudden U.S. military action on January 3, 2026, and the subsequent capture of Nicolás Maduro represent a definitive breaking point for the architecture of Chinese interests in South America. For Beijing, Venezuela was not merely a commercial partner but the cornerstone of a multidimensional strategy aimed at creating a Belt and Road Initiative outpost at the doorstep of the United

On December 19, 2025, the National Security Commission on Emerging Biotechnology (NSCEB) published a definitive staff paper entitled "The Future of U.S.-China Biotechnology Competition,"  signaling a critical inflection point in the global struggle for technological primacy. This document, building upon a sobering April 2025 assessment, warns that the window for the United States to retain its leadership in biotechnology is closing far faster than previously anticipated. Whil

The development of quantum technologies now represents a fundamental pillar of global technological competition, where innovation capacity is inextricably linked to national security and digital sovereignty. The 2025 report by the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) highlights how quantum computing, encrypted communication, and precision sensing have become strategic drivers, leading over 30 countries to invest a total of more than $35 billion.

Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), a region historically considered the security perimeter and exclusive sphere of influence of the United States, has become the main theater of strategic competition for the People's Republic of China (PRC) over the last two decades. Beijing's commitment, which has evolved beyond the mere pursuit of commercial opportunities, has transformed into a multidimensional and deeply geopolitical strategy that aims to consolidate the Chinese Commu

The Struggle for Global Logistics Autonomy: Chinese Power Projection (BRI and Civil-Military Fusion) and the Urgent Western Imperative

The in-depth analysis of the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) penetration into Zimbabwe ’s critical minerals sector , particularly lithium , is not attributable to mere commercial dynamics but constitutes the concrete and probative manifestation of a long-term global geopolitical strategy. Commercial and field intelligence data, gathered in the Zimbabwe Environmental Law Organisation (ZELO) situational report, " Mine to Market for Critical Minerals: Zimbabwe’s Lithium Sup

The Chinese commercial space sector is the hottest front in 21st-century geoeconomic, strategic, and military intelligence competition , currently defined by power asymmetry  and the overwhelming operational dominance of the United States . Beijing's goal of becoming an " aerospace power " is hampered by a "mixed and urgent situation" where the US, via the operational monopoly of SpaceX , has already saturated critical space resources, particularly Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and s

Both China and Russia are significantly strengthening their respective cybersecurity regulatory frameworks. A comparative analysis of the amendments to China's Cybersecurity Law (CSL) (effective January 2026) and the new Russian FSB ordinances ( draft regulatory proposals currently under public consultation , slated to take effect in January 2026) reveals strong analogies  in their strategies for cyberspace control. These reflect common geopolitical trends oriented toward c

The evolution of the Chinese biomedical sector has emerged as the primary critical issue in commercial intelligence and global geoeconomic strategy dynamics. China is no longer merely a leader in generic API production (with an estimated control of 80% of the global supply chain  in 2023), but has completed a strategic industrial transformation  to establish itself as a global innovation power . A critical analysis of internal data and policies, including the findings of the

The Geopolitics of Pharmaceuticals and the Mapping of Chinese Dominance The Chinese biopharmaceutical industry is accelerating to complete a strategic industrial transformation, definitively surpassing its role as a leader in generic API production (with an estimated 80% control of the global supply chain in 2023) to establish itself as a global power in strategic innovation. As mentioned , this transition, in line with the objectives of the 14th Five-Year Plan, the Made in C

Beijing's Rise in the High Value-Added Sector and the Risks of Asymmetric Leverage on Medicines and Sensitive Data The Chinese bio-pharmaceutical industry is undergoing an epochal revolution , evolving from its historical role as a major producer of generic drugs to a global powerhouse in innovation . This rapid and strategic metamorphosis is reshaping global power dynamics in the healthcare sector, creating significant geoeconomic leverage in the hands of Chinese President X

Two Dictators, One Throne: Strategic Synergy Between the Indo-Pacific (Taiwan) and Eurasia (Central Asia) Susan Miller , Gabriele , and Nicola Iuvinale China's entire global strategy is driven by a cynical calculation that inextricably links the conflict in Ukraine to the ambition of dominating the Indo-Pacific, with the ultimate goal of annexing Taiwan. On July 3, 2025, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi  admitted that Beijing "cannot afford for Russia to lose the war in Ukrai

The competition between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and the West has now taken on the form of Liminal Warfare , a systemic conflict in which the future of the global order is at stake. Since Xi Jinping came to power in 2012, the Chinese leadership has translated its desire for power into an explicit geostrategic doctrine: global technological dominance , with the stated goal of surpassing the United States and establishing a new Sinocentric world order (the conc

The Beijing-Moscow Axis: Ideological Convergence, Sanctions Evasion, and the Strategic Pursuit of Sovereignty (November 2025 Report)

The Low-Altitude Economy (LAE)  has emerged as a typical representative of new quality productive forces  and a strategic emerging industry for China. It is not merely a new economic sector, but a vital engine  for promoting high-quality economic development and achieving the national strategic goal of technological self-reliance and self-improvement . Analysts define the LAE as a comprehensive economic formation  whose essence is low-altitude flight activity , whose carrier

The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and American President Donald Trump, which took place in Busan on October 30, 2025 , on the sidelines of the APEC summit, marked a turning point in Sino-American relations. The immediate designation of the event by Trump as a "G2"  meeting had a disruptive geopolitical impact, as it validated Beijing's strategic parity , accepting the idea of a global order jointly managed by the two superpowers. The central subject of discussi

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has transcended its role as a mere emerging technology to become the driving force behind a total revolution  that is rewriting the rules of the game on a global scale. China is acutely aware of this, and has openly declared that AI presents a critical historical opportunity to rebuild its innovation system from the ground up  and firmly establish itself as a global science and technology powerhouse . The core of this ambition is the "AI Plus" (or

The meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and American President Donald Trump in Busan on October 30, 2025, cannot be reduced to a mere tactical agreement to alleviate tariff pressures. On the contrary, it represents a breaking point, a de facto acknowledgment of Beijing's systemic parity  by Washington, and with it, a potential international legitimization of the Chinese totalitarianism  led by Xi Jinping. Xi's words, claiming that Chinese ambitions and the American "

The rise of the Beidou Satellite Navigation System (BDS)  is not merely a chronicle of Chinese technological success, but the palpable manifestation of a strategic imperative for autarky  imposed by the leadership of Xi Jinping . Starting from the necessity to eliminate a crippling technological vulnerability—reliance on GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) controlled by foreign powers—China has forged Beidou into an instrument of Information Sovereignty  ( 信息主权 ) and,

The Formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030): The Inevitable Merger of Security and Development in Xi Jinping's Imperial Mandate The global geopolitical landscape has been unequivocally redefined by the outcomes of the Fourth Plenum of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China (CPC) , which concluded in Beijing in October 2025. The immediate context is marked by the public release today, October 28, 2025 , of the two documents that constitute the id