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THE HORIZON OF POWER: THE TWILIGHT OF LAW AND THE RISE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION – ANALYSIS OF THE CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGIC REPORT (LATE 2025)
THE HORIZON OF POWER: THE TWILIGHT OF LAW AND THE RISE OF TECHNOLOGICAL DISRUPTION – ANALYSIS OF THE CHINESE MINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEFENSE STRATEGIC REPORT (LATE 2025)
Nicola Iuvinale
1 giorno faTempo di lettura: 5 min


The “sharp sword” gap: Why Chinese Special Forces are not yet ready for a Delta Force-style operation in Taiwan
The question of the People's Republic of China's actual capacity to conduct high-risk special operations in hostile territory, similar to the raid against Osama bin Laden or the capture of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela, requires an examination that goes beyond simply counting technical resources. Although Beijing aspires to a “world-class” force by 2049, OSINT sources suggest that the operational gap with the United States remains wide. The following analysis explores the struc

Gabriele Iuvinale
3 giorni faTempo di lettura: 4 min


Extrema Ratio: Operation Delta Force, and the economic earthquake threatening $100 billion in Chinese investments
Oil, satellites, and bad loans: the balance sheet of Chinese risk after the fall of Caracas The sudden U.S. military action on January 3, 2026, and the subsequent capture of Nicolás Maduro represent a definitive breaking point for the architecture of Chinese interests in South America. For Beijing, Venezuela was not merely a commercial partner but the cornerstone of a multidimensional strategy aimed at creating a Belt and Road Initiative outpost at the doorstep of the United

Gabriele Iuvinale
4 giorni faTempo di lettura: 4 min


Eurasian Pincer: The New Architecture of Total Blockade in the Taiwan Strait and North Pacific
Eurasian Pincer: The New Architecture of Total Blockade in the Taiwan Strait and North Pacific
Nicola Iuvinale
6 giorni faTempo di lettura: 3 min


The Trojan Horse of the Seas: China’s Missile-Carrying Container Ships and the Architecture of Liminal Warfare
The Trojan Horse of the Seas: China’s Missile-Carrying Container Ships and the Architecture of Liminal Warfare
Nicola Iuvinale
27 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 3 min


Vietnam Between the Rare Earths Ban and Warships in the Strait: Beijing's Analysis of Hanoi's Ambitions
Vietnam Between the Rare Earths Ban and Warships in the Strait: Beijing's Analysis of Hanoi's Ambitions
Nicola Iuvinale
19 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


Quantum Technologies and National Security: State of the Art and Industrial Dynamics in the People's Republic of China
The development of quantum technologies now represents a fundamental pillar of global technological competition, where innovation capacity is inextricably linked to national security and digital sovereignty. The 2025 report by the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT) highlights how quantum computing, encrypted communication, and precision sensing have become strategic drivers, leading over 30 countries to invest a total of more than $35 billion.

Gabriele Iuvinale
18 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 3 min


Communication, navigation, and space telemetry: China reveals its cards in the battle for cis-lunar space
Amid the sidereal silence enveloping the competition between great powers, a recent document has made waves within circles of scientific diplomacy and space intelligence. In the latest issue of the Journal of Deep Space Exploration —a prestigious publication of the Beijing Institute of Technology — a technical analysis entitled Reflections on the Development of the Queqiao Integrated Navigation and Telemetry System has appeared, which reads like a programmatic manifesto. S

Gabriele Iuvinale
15 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


Beijing's Latest Offensive in Latin America: The New Cooperation Plan and the Immediate Risks of Predatory Economics, Espionage, and Sabotage
Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), a region historically considered the security perimeter and exclusive sphere of influence of the United States, has become the main theater of strategic competition for the People's Republic of China (PRC) over the last two decades. Beijing's commitment, which has evolved beyond the mere pursuit of commercial opportunities, has transformed into a multidimensional and deeply geopolitical strategy that aims to consolidate the Chinese Commu

Gabriele Iuvinale
10 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 7 min


The Doctrine of Disruption: The US NSS and the Strategic Reorientation of American Power in Asia, between the “Nixon in Reverse” Maneuver and EU Marginalization - Analysis
The National Security Strategy (NSS) published today, December 5, 2025, by the Trump Administration transcends the role of a simple policy document. It is a veritable manifesto of geopolitical rupture, sanctioning the definitive abandonment of the post-Cold War hegemonic paradigm and recognizing a world inevitably oriented toward multipolarity. Under the banner of "Principled Realism" and the guiding principle of "America First," the NSS is not a strategy of isolationism, bu

Gabriele Iuvinale
5 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 5 min


The Struggle for Global Logistics Autonomy: Chinese Power Projection (BRI and Civil-Military Fusion) and the Urgent Western Imperative
The Struggle for Global Logistics Autonomy: Chinese Power Projection (BRI and Civil-Military Fusion) and the Urgent Western Imperative
Nicola Iuvinale
4 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 6 min


The Silent Revolution of the 12.7 mm Caliber: Geopolitical Competition and Tactical Shift in Plastic Casings (China vs. USA)
The Silent Revolution of the 12.7 mm Caliber: Geopolitical Competition and Tactical Shift in Plastic Casings (China vs. USA)
Nicola Iuvinale
3 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


The PLA at the Crossroads: Intelligentized Doctrine Between Centralism and Operational Necessity
The PLA at the Crossroads: Intelligentized Doctrine Between Centralism and Operational Necessity
Nicola Iuvinale
1 dic 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


The Zimbabwean Model: China’s Lithium Grip as a Manifestation of Geopolitical Strategy and "Liminal Warfare"
The in-depth analysis of the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) penetration into Zimbabwe ’s critical minerals sector , particularly lithium , is not attributable to mere commercial dynamics but constitutes the concrete and probative manifestation of a long-term global geopolitical strategy. Commercial and field intelligence data, gathered in the Zimbabwe Environmental Law Organisation (ZELO) situational report, " Mine to Market for Critical Minerals: Zimbabwe’s Lithium Sup

Gabriele Iuvinale
27 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 7 min


Strategic Asymmetry: The Failure of China's Commercial Space Ecosystem as a Symptom of Technological Power Fragility - Analysis
The Chinese commercial space sector is the hottest front in 21st-century geoeconomic, strategic, and military intelligence competition , currently defined by power asymmetry and the overwhelming operational dominance of the United States . Beijing's goal of becoming an " aerospace power " is hampered by a "mixed and urgent situation" where the US, via the operational monopoly of SpaceX , has already saturated critical space resources, particularly Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and s

Gabriele Iuvinale
25 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 5 min


GEOPOLITICAL ALERT: CHINA ARMS THE BIOPHARMACEUTICAL SECTOR - RISKS OF TECHNOLOGICAL SPILLOVER AND VULNERABILITY OF SUPPLY CHAINS CRITICAL TO NATIONAL AND CORPORATE SECURITY
The evolution of the Chinese biomedical sector has emerged as the primary critical issue in commercial intelligence and global geoeconomic strategy dynamics. China is no longer merely a leader in generic API production (with an estimated control of 80% of the global supply chain in 2023), but has completed a strategic industrial transformation to establish itself as a global innovation power . A critical analysis of internal data and policies, including the findings of the

Gabriele Iuvinale
24 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 3 min


China, the End-Pipe-Cloud Dossier: Systemic Vulnerabilities, Critical Dependency, and the Geopolitical Imperative of Autonomy in National LAIN
The Low-Altitude Economy (LAE) is recognized as a strategic pillar in China, qualifying as a key representative of "new quality productive forces" and a vital engine for achieving the national goal of technological self-reliance and self-improvement . This rapid expansion, encompassing the movement of drones and eVTOL aircraft, relies on the critical infrastructure known as the Low-Altitude Aerial Intelligent Network (LAIN) . The China Industrial Internet Research Institute

Gabriele Iuvinale
22 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 13 min


Strategic Analysis Report: The Evolution of the PLA's Command and Control (C2) in the Era of Intelligentized Warfare
Strategic Analysis Report: The Evolution of the PLA's Command and Control (C2) in the Era of Intelligentized Warfare
Nicola Iuvinale
21 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 6 min


The Nationalization of Cyber Know-How: The Coercive Architecture Shaping China's “Strong Cyber Nation”
How DJBH, the “Three Harmonizations and Six Defenses” doctrine, and Digital Security ERP transform private companies into an operational arm of state cyber defense The cybersecurity landscape in China is defined by a national integration strategy that transcends the traditional separation between the private sector and the state defense apparatus. Far from being a mere commercial relationship, this synergy is the result of an explicit regulatory framework that inextricably li

Gabriele Iuvinale
20 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 4 min


The Grand Calculation of Beijing: Strategy of Indo-Pacific Dominance and Russian Subordination through Conflict
Two Dictators, One Throne: Strategic Synergy Between the Indo-Pacific (Taiwan) and Eurasia (Central Asia) Susan Miller , Gabriele , and Nicola Iuvinale China's entire global strategy is driven by a cynical calculation that inextricably links the conflict in Ukraine to the ambition of dominating the Indo-Pacific, with the ultimate goal of annexing Taiwan. On July 3, 2025, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi admitted that Beijing "cannot afford for Russia to lose the war in Ukrai

Gabriele Iuvinale
18 nov 2025Tempo di lettura: 12 min
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